☃️What will happen in December 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
32
475Ṁ1242
Jan 1
99%
Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation is greater than or equal to 95%
99%
Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive during the entire month
96%
Sam Altman still CEO through end of month
92%
at least 3 xkcd comics with no stick figures in it
83%
Volcano dormant for half a year erupts
80%
dick cheney still alive at end of month
74%
nVidia becomes the largest company in the history of the world (by market capitalization) at least once
72%
noam chomsky alive until end of month
72%
trump posts on twitter/x ten or more times
72%
nyc receives 3 or more inches of rain
69%
web3isgoinggreat has at least 20 posts this month
69%
large tech company announces layoffs by my judgement
69%
a tesla catches fire as reported by mainstream news
50%
Anthropic or Meta release a new model
50%
bitcoin reaches 150k or more at least one day
50%
$500 in mana sold in a single day during the month
50%
NASDAQ hits an all time high
33%
Federal Reserve cuts interest rates
31%
major tech company merger/acquisition announced
31%
An original, Nintendo approved game with "Mario" in its title is announced

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

Politics
Technology
World
News
Grab Bag
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

@strutheo Does it have to happen during this month, or if it happens before it will also resolve YES?

@Fedor has to happen in dec

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy