
☃️What will happen in December 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
45
525Ṁ3248Jan 1
99%
Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation is greater than or equal to 95%
99%
Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive during the entire month
99%
Sam Altman still CEO through end of month
99%
at least 3 xkcd comics with no stick figures in it
98.6%
earthquake 7.5 magnitude or higher
94%
noam chomsky alive until end of month
86%
Federal Reserve cuts interest rates
81%
trump posts on twitter/x ten or more times
80%
NASDAQ hits an all time high
72%
nyc receives 3 or more inches of rain
69%
web3isgoinggreat has at least 20 posts this month
58%
trump leaves usa at least once
58%
Volcano dormant for half a year erupts
47%
An original, Nintendo approved game with "Mario" in its title is announced
32%
New Half-Life game announced
31%
major tech company merger/acquisition announced
31%
spacex launches 15 or more rockets
31%
spider man beyond the spider verse release date announced
31%
another indictment revealing a right wing media personality is taking money from russia
26%
large tech company announces layoffs by my judgement
I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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filled a Ṁ10 YES at 99.0% order
@JussiVilleHeiskanen Two notable dormant volcano eruptions this year. https://aje.io/mf0pcu https://www.irishtimes.com/world/asia-pacific/2025/08/03/tsunami-waves-possible-and-dormant-volcano-erupts-after-earthquake-in-russias-far-east/
Edit: misread this as the "in 2025" market, disregard.
@realDonaldTrump Mockery market of the wording of "Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive for the entire month.
@strutheo Does it have to happen during this month, or if it happens before it will also resolve YES?
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