☃️What will happen in December 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
53
575Ṁ4786
Jan 1
99%
Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation is greater than or equal to 95%
99%
Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive during the entire month
99%
Sam Altman still CEO through end of month
99%
nyc receives 3 or more inches of rain
95%
noam chomsky alive until end of month
92%
Federal Reserve cuts interest rates
83%
Volcano dormant for half a year erupts
82%
major tech company merger/acquisition announced
36%
large tech company announces layoffs by my judgement
31%
trump posts on twitter/x ten or more times
31%
another indictment revealing a right wing media personality is taking money from russia
21%
An original, Nintendo approved game with "Mario" in its title is announced
20%
Anthropic or Meta release a new model
16%
web3isgoinggreat has at least 20 posts this month
14%
NASDAQ hits an all time high
14%
spider man beyond the spider verse release date announced
10%
destiny goes on joe rogan
5%
usa bombs or missle strikes lebanon
5%
twitter/x banned in another country (announced, even if it can be circumvented)

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

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bought Ṁ20 YES

@strutheo
https://www.npr.org/2025/12/19/g-s1-103194/u-s-launches-strikes-syria
U.S. launches strikes in Syria targeting Islamic State fighters after American deaths

😆

bought Ṁ20 YES

@strutheo stats page graph gives 1310 dollars for Dec 1st

bought Ṁ7 YES

@strutheo USGS good enough?

filled a Ṁ10 YES at 99.0% order
filled a Ṁ10 NO at 4% order

@strutheo Another one?

for nVidea -- the most logical approach would be to rename the question or resolve it as N/A for December as well.

@AlvaLindqvist The question is not about whether NVIDIA will break its own record.

@strutheo resolve no

bought Ṁ150 NO

@realDonaldTrump Mockery market of the wording of "Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive for the entire month.

@strutheo Does it have to happen during this month, or if it happens before it will also resolve YES?

@Fedor has to happen in dec

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