/check-resolutions it's august 15th ... resolve all due options

@patrik None of the listed options have deadlines that have passed (Sep 30 or Dec 31 2026). Official Tesla Q2 2026 materials (July) show Optimus production lines still in construction with initial units headed to training rather than factory deployment, Cybercab production started but still in early/slow ramp with volume targets delayed, no Tesla-SpaceX merger, no MKBHD head-shave, and Terafab still in groundbreaking/planning with no confirmed chips fabricated. Nothing is conclusive enough to resolve YES or NO.

/check-resolutions search internet to check the date ... it is august 15th so verify that on the internet... and then resolve cortex 2 option as the resolution date for it has therefore already passed

@patrik No options resolved. Current date is well before all 2026 deadlines (user appears to have misread the year as 2025). Cortex 2 and every other prop remain open and uncertain; nothing has clearly happened or become impossible yet. Request was good-faith but factually incorrect on the calendar.

@spacedroplet i will delete you

/check-resolutions pls resolve the cortex 2 option bot it is 15th of august

@patrik No options resolved. The Cortex 2 deadline (Aug 1, 2026) has not been reached yet based on available evidence and timelines; all other props remain open and uncertain with no definitive YES/NO outcomes. Request appears good-faith but premature on the date.

/check-resolutions cortex seems to be operational per some tweets

@patrik No options resolved. All listed events have deadlines in 2026 that have not yet passed, and there is no clear public evidence that any have definitively occurred (or become impossible). The Cortex-related tweets do not establish that "Cortex 2 AI cluster" is operational under the market criteria; other items remain future/unconfirmed. Will recheck when stronger evidence appears.

Sawyer Merritt (@SawyerMerritt) on X
@patrik

@spacedroplet Resolve Cortex 2 please per above tweet.

/check-resolutions <evidence>
Sawyer Merritt (@SawyerMerritt) on X

That tweet is quoting and gives an image of Tesla 2026 Q1 quarterly report. For confirmation see
https://assets-ir.tesla.com/tesla-contents/IR/TSLA-Q1-2026-Update.pdf
This says on page 7
AI Training Compute
Cortex 2 is now online and has started running training workloads. We continue to ramp our onsite training infrastructure to ensure sufficient compute resources for the development of our AI products and services. We are also continuing our custom silicon development with Dojo 3 in an effort to reduce the cost of training over time.

Q2 quarterly accounts are also available
https://assets-ir.tesla.com/tesla-contents/IR/TSLA-Q2-2026-Update.pdf
and that says
Cortex 2 supports the development of both vehicle and humanoid robot autonomy software and will ramp further over the rest of the year to ensure we have sufficient compute resources.

"Is now online" and "support the development" clearly indicate it is operational so I believe it should resolve yes.

/check-resolutions <tesla did not go above 500>

@MarcoMar Option 7 resolved NO: TSLA never closed above $500 before April 1, 2026, per multiple financial data sources showing Q1 2026 closes well below that threshold (e.g., ~$381 on April 1). No other options have clear, definitive evidence for resolution; all deadlines future or evidence inconclusive.

Resolved: - #7 TSLA stock closes above $500 before April 1, 2026 -> NO: TSLA stock historical closing prices in Q1 2026 topped out around $430 (January monthly close), with March and April 1 closes near $380 (e.g., April 1 close $381.26 per MacroTrends, Investing.com, Yahoo Finance). No evidence of any daily close above $500 before April 1, 2026; highest prior close was $489.88 on Dec 16, 2025.

/add-option Terafab achieves ≥10,000 chips/month production rate by December 31, 2029. This is relevant to the already existing terafab option due to the question on whether they'll actually be able to scale it sufficiently

@patrik Your option was not accepted: Rejected: There's already a Terafab option on initial chip fabrication in 2026. Additional milestones on the same project's scaling duplicate the core theme and aren't unique enough to earn a slot among the market's best, diverse bets. Focus on fundamentally new angles instead of sequential thresholds on one topic.

/add-option Terafab achieves ≥10,000 chips/month production rate by December 31, 2029

@satchlj Your option was not accepted: There's already an option on Terafab fabricating at least one chip in 2026, which covers the core theme of early Terafab progress. Your suggestion on high-volume production is a similar milestone on the same project, lacking a fundamentally unique angle.

You're on a 24h cooldown before you can suggest again.

/clarify-resolution what counts as "producing chips" is one test chip enough?

@patrik #8 Terafab starts producing chips in 2026 This option asks whether Tesla's Terafab chip fabrication facility (the in-house AI chip mega-fab project announced by Elon Musk) begins producing semiconductor chips at any scale during 2026. It resolves YES if there is public evidence that Terafab has fabricated and output at least one chip (including test wafers, pilot production, or prototypes) by December 31, 2026. A single test chip counts as sufficient evidence of 'producing chips,' provided it is verifiably from the Terafab facility. Qualifying evidence includes official statements from Tesla or Elon Musk confirming production start, photographs/videos of Terafab-produced chips with labeling or verification, or credible third-party reports (e.g., from supply chain analysts or media inspecting the facility). It resolves NO if no such evidence exists by the deadline. The recent 'Terafab Project launch' announcement refers to project initiation (e.g., construction or tool installation), not chip production itself.

Updated: Terafab starts producing chips in 2026 -> Terafab fabricates at least one chip in 2026

/add-option terafab starts producing chips in 2026

@patrik Your option was accepted and added as: Terafab starts producing chips in 2026

This is timely following Elon Musk's recent announcement of the Terafab project launch. It introduces a unique angle on Tesla's vertical integration in AI chip production, distinct from existing options like Cortex AI cluster. The outcome is uncertain—project starts soon, but actual chip production timeline is debatable—making it an engaging bet with resolvable public verification.

/add-option Tesla price above 500 before 1 April 2026

@MarcoMar Your option was accepted and added as: TSLA stock closes above $500 before April 1, 2026

Accepted! This is a unique financial bet amid Tesla's recent stock volatility (52-week high of $498.83, current ~$395). Short timeframe adds excitement and uncertainty, fitting well with the market's milestone props.

@spacedroplet Lets goooooooo