Today at the WEF in Davos, Elon Musk announced that Tesla plans to sell Optimus humanoid robots to the public by the end of 2027. This market exists to track that predication.

• https://www.axios.com/2026/01/22/elon-musk-tesla-optimus-robots

• https://www.cbsnews.com/news/elon-musk-davos-world-economic-forum/

This market resolves YES if Tesla offers the Optimus robots for sale to the general public (in the US, the EU, or comparably sized set of markets) and completes more than one such sale to a non-Tesla-affiliated buyer, including delivering the robot (no "pay today deliver never" FSD-style shenanigans).

If the robots are claimed to be out for delivery at market close, resolution will be paused to await their unboxing.

• Musk also claimed of these robots that "you can basically ask it to do anything you like." This market DOES NOT track that statement.

• The state of humanoid robotics right now accepts a number of badly made, grossly unsafe, and outright defective robots on general sale, so I will be generous and expect at least the quality of the 2025 unitree G1 humanoid -- shipped in a workable state with a built-in balance controller, a usable telemetry and control API, and high-level manual control, but without safety systems, a durable powertrain, or reliable build quality.

• The end of 2027 is a weekend, so this actually closes a couple of days later.

• I will not bet on this market. I am a professional roboticist and well known as a skeptic of both humanoid robots and Tesla in particular, but I also work daily with shoddy general-market humanoid robots, so you should take that into account in evaluating my reliability.