How will we know if it was related to the cargo ship?

@EvanDaniel I think it is often known what event precipitated a conflict.. it's rarely sudden, there are declarations, tensions and so on. As long as there is an incident involving a shitty old cargo ship that leads to increased tensions that lead to a nuclear explosion, and there is a clear chain of events linking the two, I will be biased to resolve YES.

Clearly no nuclear war from these limp dicks https://x.com/FaytuksNetwork/status/2008930492691681306

But we have a whole year and a shit ton of shitty cargo ships around Taiwan

Any use of nuclear weapons in combat, even accidental, counts as nuclear war for the purpose of this market.