Will a nuclear detonation happen in space by the end of 2026?
34
1kṀ60262027
4%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2028?
13% chance
Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2026?
10% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
11% chance
Will a nuclear bomb be detonated in space by 2050?
66% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027?
17% chance
Will a nuclear propelled rocket be tested in space before 2027?
3% chance
Will any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2026? (Tests included)
10% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2029?
13% chance
Will an offensive nuclear detonation occur by 2080?
49% chance