If there are nuclear detonations by the end of 2026, by who?
3
แน100แน283Dec 31
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
90%
๐ฐ๐ต North Korea
50%
๐ฎ๐ท Iran
10%
๐ท๐บ Russia
6%
๐บ๐ธ United States
If there is a nuclear detonation in 2026, resolves YES to all countries listed that detonate nuclear weapons in 2026, and NO to all countries that didn't. Otherwise, all options resolve N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2029?
13% chance
Will any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2026? (Tests included)
10% chance
Will China bomb any country by the end of 2026?
17% chance
Above-ground nuclear explosion by EOY 2026?
13% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027?
17% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
16% chance
Will a nuclear detonation happen in space by the end of 2026?
4% chance
Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030
68% chance
Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2026?
32% chance
Nuclear weapon detonations by 2033