Will the United States government detonate a nuclear weapon anywhere in 2026?
16
Ṁ100Ṁ488Dec 31
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
13% chance
If there are nuclear detonations by the end of 2026, by who?
Will the US conduct a nuclear test in 2026?
10% chance
Will any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2026? (Tests included)
10% chance
Will a nuclear detonation happen in space by the end of 2026?
4% chance
Will an above-ground nuclear test take place in 2026?
6% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027?
17% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2028?
16% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2029?
10% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?
11% chance