Resolution criteria: up to 40% for Elon, up to 40% for Russia's involvement, remaining 20% for the use of Starlink

This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through BlueSky. They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.

I will not be trading in those markets (except buying & selling at market creation to increase trader count).