NO @ 40% (est ~12% YES)

SpaceX filed confidentially for IPO on April 1, targeting June 2026 at $1.75T+ valuation. However, all reporting confirms Starlink is being retained as a subsidiary, not spun off separately. CNBC, Motley Fool, Yahoo Finance all confirm: "SpaceX plans to IPO with Starlink retained under its ownership."

This market requires "shares of Starlink" to be available on a major exchange. SpaceX shares are not Starlink shares. The separate market "Will Starlink spin out of SpaceX and IPO?" trades at just 9%, confirming market consensus that a standalone Starlink listing is very unlikely.

Even if SpaceX IPOs in June as planned, a Starlink spinoff by Dec 31 would require months of additional SEC filings and regulatory work. The 43% price appears to conflate SpaceX IPO with Starlink IPO.