Will Elon Musk move SpaceX to Russia?
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15
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2030
1.7%
chance

He has a history of moving to whenever the regulatory system will allow him to do what he wants. There's some speculation that he's unhappy with spaceflight regulations, though the success SpaceX is having winning contracts in the US would argue it's been acceptable so far.

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Some people were having a discussion and offering to bet, so I created this market to facilitate that. FWIW, I think it's highly unlikely given national security concerns alone, but that could change if there's a change in who's involved day-to-day, the regulatory environment in the US, etc.

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