Will the phrase "effective altruism" be used in more New York Times articles over 2024 than over 2023?
5
56
αΉ€130
2025
50%
chance

What will media attention on EA look like?

In 2021, EA was mentioned in 9 articles. In 2023 so far, it's been used in 8. The year 2022 had 31 but might have been an outlier because of the collapse of FTX and the launch of What We Owe The Future. 2023 is the scheduled start of the SBF trial.

Market will resolve based on this search or an equivalent. It will resolve to N/A if there are no equivalent searches that can resolve it for me without an hour of work.

Get αΉ€200 play money
Sort by:
predicts NO

I think my biggest crux right now is how much the publicity from the SBF trial will cross over the end of 2023