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Will the phrase "effective altruism" be used in more New York Times articles over 2023 than over 2021?
139
closes 2024
84%
chance

What will media attention on EA look like this year?

In 2021, EA was mentioned in 9 articles. In 2023 so far, it's been used only in one, implying 8 by end of year at the current rate. The year 2022 was an outlier largely because of the collapse of FTX and the launch of What We Owe The Future.

Market will resolve to YES if there are more than 9 articles as measured by this search or an equivalent. It will resolve to N/A if there are no equivalent searches that can resolve it for me without an hour of work. It will resolve to NO otherwise.

See this related market asking whether the number will be over 50.

Feb 17, 3:18pm: Will the phrase "effective altruism" be used in more New York Times articles over 2023 than in 2021? → Will the phrase "effective altruism" be used in more New York Times articles over 2023 than over 2021?

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mvdm avatar
matthew van der merwebought Ṁ0 of YES(edited)

Underpriced (at <70c). 5 mentions already, and FTX-related attention will likely pick up again end of year with SBF trial, Michael Lewis book published (both scheduled for October).

wustep avatar
wustepbought Ṁ80 of NO

still at 5 according to the search 👀

samb avatar
sambought Ṁ25 of NO

We're at 5 articles this year

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