Will the phrase "effective altruism" be used in more than 50 New York Times articles in 2023?
34
536
630
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

As measured by this search.

As of Jan 27, 2023, there is only 1 such article. Here is a time series of counts:

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bought Ṁ3,000 of NO

@samb resolves no

bought Ṁ200 of YES

@nikki Wait, should resolve No, 27 results

bought Ṁ25 of NO

Here's another market that might let people make more precise predictions https://manifold.markets/samb/will-the-phrase-effective-altruism-132828f94e20

predicted NO

Update that the count is still only 1, implying 8 by the end of the year