Will AGI or widespread commercial nuclear fusion be developed first? | Manifold

Will AGI or widespread commercial nuclear fusion be developed first?

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Resolves when either nuclear fusion reaches 1% of electricity globally, or when artificial general intelligence is reached. If none of these ever get achieved by humanity, this never resolves.

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Different people can have very different definitions of AGI. Which one is used here?

Fusion as 1% of global energy production?

Here's free money if you think that's going to happen in the next 80 years.

Semi-related market for arbitration:

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