When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built?
51
1.4kṀ29942100
60%
Before 2035
16%
2035 - 2045
14%
2045 - 2060
7%
After the year 2060
2%
Never - Another energy source will be preferred even if technically and commercially viable.
0.3%
For decades, nuclear fusion was always "20 years away". Now it's time to settle the debate here! Will it ever happen, and when?
I've opted for a range instead of a specific year, but you can specify the exact year in the comments below if you want.
I've also allowed for adding new answers later for this poll, so if you think additional options need to be added, let me know!
Will resolve when either of the following conditions are met:
The first commercial nuclear fusion power station is built.
Another energy source is preferred/more economically more competitive for base-load power, and nuclear fusion deployment is either halted or restricted to niche applications.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Which country will be the first to add commercially viable nuclear fusion energy to their power grid?
Which country will produce the first >1GW nuclear fusion power plant to return energy back to the grid?
Will the first commercial fusion reactor be T-T?
5% chance
Will First Light Fusion demonstrate breakeven in a fusion reactor before the end of 2025?
8% chance
In which decade will a fusion reactor project first demonstrate engineering breakeven?
Will the first commercial fusion reactor be a tokamak?
52% chance
Will the first commercial fusion reactor be D-T?
68% chance