Resolves YES if no major military exchange occurs between US and Iran (US strikes on Iran, or Iran strikes on US forces/assets) between April 8, 2026 (the day the 2-week ceasefire was announced) and the end of April 22, 2026.

Resolves NO if either side conducts a meaningful military strike against the other within that window. Minor incidents (defensive intercepts, isolated skirmishes that both sides treat as non-escalation, proxy actions disclaimed by both governments) do not count as breaking the ceasefire.

Resolves N/A only if the question becomes ambiguous or unverifiable from public reporting.