If the US strikes Iran by June 30th, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
32
Ṁ100Ṁ2.4kDec 31
8%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2026-01-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve N/A if the US does not strike Iran before July 1, 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?
8% chance
If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
7% chance
If Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
7% chance
Will the US reimpose a blockade on Iran by the end of July 2026?
38% chance
Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?
8% chance
Will the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
20% chance
Will Iran and the US reach a formal nuclear deal by September 30, 2026?
32% chance
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?
12% chance
If Iran's regime falls in 2026, will it be a surprise?
20% chance
Will Iran cease to exist in 2026?
3% chance