Will Greenland be controlled by the USA on 31 December 2029?
49
Ṁ1kṀ12k2029
5%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will the USA have de facto control of Greenland on 31 December 2029? This means that the USA considers Greenland to be its sovereign territory and actually controls it, with US control of Greenland government institutions, and no non-US soldiers or military forces on Greenland without the USA's approval.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
https://manifold.markets/thepurplebull/status-of-greenland-in-2035?r=Rmxla2tpZQ
The is some arbitrage possible between these two IMO
People are also trading
Related questions
US acquires part of Greenland in 2026?
22% chance
Will the United States acquire or gain sovereignty over any part of Greenland by March 31, 2026?
12% chance
Will Trump attack Greenland in 2026?
2% chance
How will the U.S. take Greenland? [Ind MC]
Will Trump invade Greenland by January 31
1% chance
Will the USA control Greenland by EOY2026?
17% chance
Will Donald Trump annex Greenland into the US before 2027?
16% chance
Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026?
16% chance
Will Greenland become part of the US by the end of Trump’s term?
5% chance
Will the US formally annexation Greenland by Dec 31, 2030>
20% chance