Will Luigi Mangione ultimately be the actual shooter of Brian Thompson?
Basic
8
Ṁ3772025
94%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Luigi Mangione was arrested today in connection with the murder of Brian Thompson. This market is to predict whether he’s the right guy.
This market will resolve ‘yes’ if charges are formalized and he is brought to trial or pleads out. This market will not be to predict whether he will be ultimately convicted at trial.
This market will resolve ‘no’ if he’s released and charges dropped.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2026?
71% chance
Is Luigi Mangione the person who shot UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson?
91% chance
Did Luigi Mangione substantially leverage LLMs to plan the killing of UHC CEO Brian Thompson?
18% chance
Will Luigi Mangione die before the start of 2026?
15% chance
Will Luigi Mangione be extradited to New York before 2025?
40% chance
Will a drama film or series be released about Luigi Mangione by the end of 2027?
29% chance
Will Luigi Mangione waive extradition?
51% chance
Will Luigi Mangione attempt suicide at least once while in custody before his trial is over?
11% chance
Will Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced?
92% chance
Will Luigi Mangione get into a relationship/fall in love by EOY 2027?
43% chance