Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027?
36
1kṀ40432027
80%
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Same resolution criteria as: https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/will-luigi-mangione-be-convicted-of
Except, one year later.
This market will resolve YES if:
Luigi Mangione is convicted of murder (any degree) in connection with Brian Thompson's death by a court of law before January 1st, 2027.
Luigi Mangione pleads guilty to murder charges in connection with Brian Thompson's death before January 1st, 2027.
The market will resolve NO if:
Mangione is acquitted of murder charges
No conviction is reached by January 1st, 2027
Charges are dropped or reduced to lesser charges (e.g., manslaughter)
Mangione is never formally charged with murder
Mangione dies before a conviction is reached
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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