Each answer will resolve independently based on the verdict in Mangione's criminal trial:
YES if Mangione is found guilty of that specific count, or pleas guilty to that count
NO if Mangione is found not guilty of that specific count, or if the count is dismissed/dropped before or during trial, or if Mangione dies before a verdict is delivered for that count.
You can read the indictment for these charges here:
https://manhattanda.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Mangione-Indictment-FINAL-as-filed.pdf
If Mangione is charged with additional New York crimes related to the assassination before the full resolution of this market, I will add them.
The resolution date will be extended until all answers are resolved.
Update 2024-19-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If multiple degrees of the same crime are charged for a single act, you cannot be convicted of lesser included offenses (LIO) in NY
2nd degree murder is considered a lesser included offense of 1st degree murder
2nd degree murder is likely (but not definitively) a lesser included offense of 2nd degree murder as a crime of terrorism
2nd degree murder as a crime of terrorism is likely (but not definitively) a lesser included offense of 1st degree murder
1,000
3.00@TheAllMemeingEye In NY you cannot be convicted of "lesser included offenses" for the same act.
There is precedent that 2nd degree murder is a LIO for 1st degree murder.
My reading of 2nd degree murder as a crime of terrorism is that it should be a LIO of 1st degree murder, and 2nd degree murder should be a LIO of 2nd degree as a crime of terrorism. I'm not a lawyer, though, and I don't think there is any precedent about that charge.