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MANIFOLD
Will Luigi Mangione's New York murder case be dismissed?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ76
2027
31%
chance

This market will resolve "YES" if the New York state murder case against Luigi Mangione is dismissed before a jury is sworn or the court accepts a guilty plea pursuant to a qualifying plea deal. If a jury is sworn or the court accepts a guilty plea pursuant to a qualifying plea deal, the market will resolve "NO". A qualifying plea deal is any plea deal where Luigi Mangione agrees to plead guilty or no contest and doesn't reserve any unique appeal rights. The resolution of this market will not be affected by the dismissal of other charges against Luigi Mangione or appeals of the dismissal.

Should there be a dispute, the rules provided will control over the answer to the question itself. While the question is intended to provide an easy way for people to bet on their beliefs, it is not the end-all, be-all, and all traders should look at the rules. Please don't hesitate to ask clarifying questions in the comments. In the unlikely event of significant ambiguity regarding whether the resolution criteria have been met. I reserve the right to resolve a question to a percentage that I deem fair or N/A the market. I will give notice before I do this.

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