Will Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced?
32
100Ṁ13102026
96%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2024-20-12 (PST): - Market will resolve either way (N/A or YES/NO) if Luigi Mangione is found not guilty (AI summary of creator comment)
Update 2024-20-12 (PST): - If Luigi Mangione is found not guilty and is alive when sentencing would have occurred, market resolves YES (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@Robincvgr as in - if he is alive when sentencing is supposed to happen it resolves YES even if found not guilty
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2026?
1% chance
Will Luigi get away with killing the CEO by a jury nullification by my judgement?
7% chance
Will Luigi Mangione be pardoned before the end of 2025?
1% chance
Luigi Mangione case declared a mistrial.
9% chance
Will Luigi Mangione die before the start of 2026?
2% chance
Will Luigi Mangione plead extreme emotional disturbance or not guilty by reason of mental illness?
23% chance
Luigi Mangione Federal Pre-trial proceedings Prop Bets (Add Answers)
Will any United States elected official call for the release of Luigi Mangione by the end of 2025?
12% chance
Did Luigi Mangione substantially leverage LLMs to plan the killing of UHC CEO Brian Thompson?
8% chance
Will there be a Luigi Mangione Copycat before Jan 1, 2026
6% chance