Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of terrorism?
26
1kṀ10k
2029
1%
chance

Will Luigi Mangione receive a guilty verdict on the charge of first-degree murder in furtherance of terrorism under New York Penal Law § 490.25, regardless of any subsequent appeals, as confirmed by official court records or trusted public reporting?

This market will resolve when the trial ends.

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Is this the end?

https://manifold.markets/Chumchulum/usa-abolishes-double-jeopardy-befor?r=Q2h1bWNodWx1bQ

boughtṀ500NO

@realDonaldTrump I see you too use Ground News.

bought Ṁ500 NO

@Quroe what? nyt

@realDonaldTrump Ah, it's my news aggrigator. I'm used to there being some lag time on breaking news in exchange for more accurate reporting.

The fact that we were within like 2 minutes of each other on our reaction times implied to me that you experienced that lag period as well.

I guess I just got a faster than normal notification this time around from my aggrigator.

People are also trading

Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2026?
6% chance
Which counts will Luigi Mangione be convicted on?
Will Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced?
94% chance
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4% chance
Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027?
76% chance
Will Luigi Mangione attempt suicide at least once while in custody before his trial is over?
10% chance
Will Luigi Mangione plead extreme emotional disturbance or not guilty by reason of mental illness?
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35% chance
Will any United States elected official call for the release of Luigi Mangione by the end of 2025?
18% chance
Will Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029?
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