Will the Republican Party win a majority of the five gerrymandered districts in Texas during the 2026 Midterms?
4
Ṁ105Ṁ19Nov 4
45%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market focuses specially on whether the Republican Party will win the 2026 Midterm Elections for the following Texas Districts that were gerrymandered as part of the 2025 effort to redraw the state-wide District Map:
TX-9
TX-28
TX-32
TX-34
TX-35
I will resolve this to 'Yes' if Republicans win at least three of the five districts, and 'No' if not.
I will also resolve this to N/A in the event of any credible proof of election tampering or if the election is not held for any reason.
I do not bet on markets I create.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
39% chance
Which party will win the 2026 Texas Senate race?
Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?
8% chance
Texas Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026?
38% chance
Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026?
39% chance
If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?
63% chance
Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
57% chance
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
38% chance
Which Texas US House Districts will a Democrat win?