Will Scott Alexander join a London Rationalish meeting by the end of the year?
13
76
Ṁ1.3KṀ211
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
London Rationalish identifies as a fortnightly London-based meetup for members of the rationalist diaspora. The diaspora includes, but is not limited to, LessWrong, Astral Codex Ten, rationalist tumblrsphere, and parts of the Effective Altruism movement.
Scott Alexander is a doctor on the US West Coast, currently working on new models for mental health care at Lorien Psychiatry. He has also written Unsong, a serial novel about alternate history American kabbalists. Currently, he's blogging at the Astral Codex Ten Substack.
Jun 15, 5:31pm: I can clarify that if there's an ACX/Rationalish event like last year where Scott visits London, this market will resolve as a Yes.
Get Ṁ200 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ84 | |
2 | Ṁ40 | |
3 | Ṁ10 | |
4 | Ṁ10 | |
5 | Ṁ10 |
Sort by:
I have resolved this market and I've created a new market for 2023 at https://manifold.markets/palcu/will-scott-alexander-join-a-london-1010a9eb3380.
Related questions
Will Scott Alexander endorse a presidential candidate in 2024?
44% chance
Will Scott Alexander be a guest on any podcast whatsoever before 2028?
23% chance
Will Scott Alexander be found to have committed fraud before 2030?
3% chance
Will Scott Alexander get divorced?
24% chance
Will Scott Alexander release another (50k+ words) fictional work before 2035?
29% chance
Will Scott Alexander review any book by David Orrell by the end of 2024?
19% chance
Will I vote for Scott Alexander in the 2024 general presidential election?
16% chance
Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030?
12% chance
Will Scott Alexander convert to Christianity before 2030?
4% chance
Will Scott Alexander bang Eliezer before 2025?
1% chance