Will there be an AI-powered trader on Manifold in the top 20 profit leaderboard by end of 2026? | Manifold

Will there be an AI-powered trader on Manifold in the top 20 profit leaderboard by end of 2026?

Manifold•Trading Bots

34

94

Ṁ2K

Ṁ610

2027

57%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

All decisions regarding bets from this account must be made from an AI system. Bots that trade based on set rules decided by a human do not count.

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Would a bot that learned simple trading rules count? Looking at the existing bots those seem pretty profitable already. Or are you thinking about some sort of sophisticated NLP kind of AI?

predicts YES

@Thomas42 I don't think a simple bot that was provided instructions to trade on Manifold should count as artificial intelligence.

predicts YES

All Time Top Traders leaderboard?

predicts YES

bought Ṁ15 of YES

How will this get proven?

@blake it would require that the operator / organizer / AI itself disclose it's identity

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Who will be the top all-time trader on the Manifold leaderboard at end of November 2024?

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Who will be the top trader on Manifold at the end of 2024?

Will an AI model outperform 95% of Manifold users on accuracy before 2026?

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Will a bot be at the top of manifold's all time profit leaderboard before 2026

Will Manifold let AI autoresolve markets by 2028?

Will any Manifold market reach 10,000 traders by the end of 2024?

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