Will there be an AI-powered trader on Manifold in the top 20 profit leaderboard by end of 2026? | Manifold

Will there be an AI-powered trader on Manifold in the top 20 profit leaderboard by end of 2026?

43

1kṀ4039

2027

74%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

All decisions regarding bets from this account must be made from an AI system. Bots that trade based on set rules decided by a human do not count.

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

Would a bot that learned simple trading rules count? Looking at the existing bots those seem pretty profitable already. Or are you thinking about some sort of sophisticated NLP kind of AI?

predictedYES

@Thomas42 I don't think a simple bot that was provided instructions to trade on Manifold should count as artificial intelligence.

predictedYES

All Time Top Traders leaderboard?

predictedYES

How will this get proven?

@blake it would require that the operator / organizer / AI itself disclose it's identity

Related questions

Will an AI bot reach the top of the all-time trading leaderboard of Manifold Markets?

Will Manifold have more than 1445 active traders on any day in 2025?

Will Manifold let AI autoresolve markets by 2028?

Will Manifold introduce an AI-based feature that automatically resolves markets by 2030?

Will a Manifold user reach 1 Million traders by EOY 2030

Will a bot be at the top of manifold's all time profit leaderboard before 2026

Will I reach the top 100 profits leaderboard on Manifold this year?

Will an AI model outperform 95% of Manifold users on accuracy before 2026?

Will Manifold stop having obviously wrong probabilities on markets with >=50 traders by the end of 2024?

Manifold Top Traders Leaderboard Ranking Prediction (2024)

Related questions

Will an AI bot reach the top of the all-time trading leaderboard of Manifold Markets?

Will a bot be at the top of manifold's all time profit leaderboard before 2026

Will Manifold have more than 1445 active traders on any day in 2025?

Will I reach the top 100 profits leaderboard on Manifold this year?

Will Manifold let AI autoresolve markets by 2028?

Will an AI model outperform 95% of Manifold users on accuracy before 2026?

Will Manifold introduce an AI-based feature that automatically resolves markets by 2030?

Will Manifold stop having obviously wrong probabilities on markets with >=50 traders by the end of 2024?

Will a Manifold user reach 1 Million traders by EOY 2030

Manifold Top Traders Leaderboard Ranking Prediction (2024)

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules