Testing out a cool new format here.
Rules:
The event must have possibly happened sometime in 2023, and there is significant disagreement over whether it happened at the time of submission.
All markets will be resolved by me, or a council of 5 moderators if I am inactive.
I will not bet in this market.
Proof should be publicly known or posted here
Do not spam meaningless or duplicate answers. I may N/A any answer I choose to
I may edit answers to be more clear
I will close this market sometime between 2030 and 2040, to hopefully avoid interest rate/bad loan problems. On 1 January 2030, I will randomly extend the market 0 to 10 years.
All answers that lack sufficient proof for a YES or NO resolution will resolve N/A at close date. If sufficient proof is provided after the close, the question will re-resolve.
A 99 mana bounty will be awarded to anyone who submits an interesting enough question that has a significant number of traders.
1,000People are also trading
Bitcoin could be bought on the open market for less than $20,000 (USD) for the last time (before this market closes)
Some people think Bitcoin is a big deal and I'm sure you could find one person who says it will never go below 20,000 again, and one person who says it absolutely will. So there's probably disagreement on this point.
Bachman's warbler went extinct
This bird was declared extinct in 2023, but what if it still exists and shows up again before this market closes?
> The United States Fish and Wildlife Service proposed on Sept. 29, 2021 to declare the species extinct following a lack of evidence of its survival; the species was delisted and declared extinct in October 2023 in accordance with the Endangered Species Act.[16][17][18]