Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
☘️What will happen in March 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
82
Ṁ900Ṁ11k
resolved Apr 1
Resolved
YES
earthquake 7.0+ magnitude
Resolved
YES
major tech company merger/acquisition announced
Resolved
YES
noam chomsky alive until end of month
Resolved
YES
at least 3 xkcd comics with no stick figures in it
Resolved
YES
large tech company announces layoffs by my judgement
Resolved
YES
earthquake 7.5 magnitude or higher
Resolved
YES
Sam Altman still CEO through end of month
Resolved
YES
$500 in mana sold in a single day during the month
Resolved
YES
spacex launches 15 or more rockets
Resolved
YES
nyc receives 3 or more inches of rain
Resolved
YES
american airstrike or drone strike or missle strike on iran
Resolved
YES
Volcano dormant for half a year erupts
Resolved
YES
Contrapoints video release
Resolved
YES
Russians kill 5 or more Ukrainian civilians in a single day
Resolved
N/A
Russia kills 20 or more Ukrainian civilians in a single day
Resolved
NO
ukraine russia ceasefire
Resolved
NO
china taiwan military conflict resulting in at least 1 death
Resolved
NO
Federal Reserve cuts interest rates
Resolved
NO
An original, Nintendo approved game with "Mario" in its title is announced
Resolved
NO
starship launch

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ188
2Ṁ86
3Ṁ74
4Ṁ73
5Ṁ65
Sort by:
bought Ṁ50 YES

@strutheo Confluent was acquired by IBM

bought Ṁ100 YES

@strutheo
Akan volcano
https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/de/akan/news/297490/Akan-volcano-Hokkaido-Japan-minor-eruption.html
Small tremors were detected on 27 February, 1 March, and 6 March, accompanied by slight tilt changes. Minor fluctuations in seismic amplitude began on the evening of 6 March, likely reflecting the eruptive activity that continued into the morning of 8 March. At around 09:15 on 8 March, a very small eruption sent a gray‑white ash plume about 100 m above the crater rim, drifting southeast. Intermittent emissions persisted until 16:00, with ash rising up to 200 m.
No significant changes in the activity were observed before or after the event.

https://volcano.si.edu/volcano.cfm?vn=285070
Although Akan is the most active volcano on the island, little activity has been reported by JMA since November 2008

https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/de/akan/news.html

https://www.patreon.com/contrapoints

New Contra video "Saw" on Patreon!!! YouTube release to follow shortly