If the New York City mayoral election is between Andrew Cuomo and Zohran Mamdani, who will win?
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1kṀ63kNov 4
Zohran Mamdani80%
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This market resolves to the winner of the NYC mayoral election if the election is a head to head matchup between Cuomo and Mamdani on election day.
If any other major candidates are actively campaigning on election day, this market resolves N/A
A major candidate is a candidate polling at 1% or above. The current major candidates are Cuomo, Mamdani, Eric Adams, Curtis Sliwa.
Update 2025-09-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If either Andrew Cuomo or Zohran Mamdani drops out, this market will resolve to N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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this scenario is genuinely the funniest possible outcome i think. Cuomo manages to get Sliwa and Adams to drop out through whatever method and sees his poll numbers skyrocket from a frigid Mamdani +20 to a balmy Mamdani +8
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