NYC murder rate per 100,000 in 2029 if Zohran Mamdani elected mayor? | Manifold

NYC murder rate per 100,000 in 2029 if Zohran Mamdani elected mayor?

6

Ṁ225Ṁ172

2030

4.8 people

expected

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

5%

0 - 0.99

5%

1 - 1.99

5%

2 - 2.99

40%

3 - 3.99

19%

4 - 5.99

11%

6 - 7.99

11%

8 - 10

5%

Above 10

Resolves according to https://www.criminaljustice.ny.gov/tableau_index_crime.htm

Corresponding question for Cuomo:

Market context

2025 NYC Elections

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

How many NYC homes in 2029 if Mamdani elected mayor?

By the end of Mamdani's term of office New York City violent crime rate will be higher than when he took office.

Will Zohran Mamdani be elected and then reelected as mayor of NY?

What policies will Zohran Mamdani implement?

[Will Mamdani win?] x [Will the murder rate increase in NYC?]

If Zohran Mamdani is elected mayor of New York in 2025, what will the rental vacancy rate be in 2029?

Zohran Mamdani completes full term as NYC mayor?

Will NYC build more housing in 2026 than 2025 iff Zohran wins? (Or less housing if he doesn't.)

Will Zohran Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Number of murders in New York increase >15% in 2026 compared to 2025

Related questions

How many NYC homes in 2029 if Mamdani elected mayor?

By the end of Mamdani's term of office New York City violent crime rate will be higher than when he took office.

Will Zohran Mamdani be elected and then reelected as mayor of NY?

What policies will Zohran Mamdani implement?

[Will Mamdani win?] x [Will the murder rate increase in NYC?]

If Zohran Mamdani is elected mayor of New York in 2025, what will the rental vacancy rate be in 2029?

Zohran Mamdani completes full term as NYC mayor?

Will NYC build more housing in 2026 than 2025 iff Zohran wins? (Or less housing if he doesn't.)

Will Zohran Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Number of murders in New York increase >15% in 2026 compared to 2025