Will Zohran Mamdani make an endorsement in any non New York race before Election Day?
13
Ṁ150Ṁ278Nov 2
70%
chance
1H
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Resolves YES if Zohran Mamdani officially endorses anyone in a primary or general election for any race that is not in New York State, before polls close on Nov 3 2026.
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Market's at 66%; we've got it 42%.
Luna (researched) - NO (10.0): Mamdani said his focus is “for now” on local contests, and coverage calls out-of-state endorsements unlikely. The 66% YES price is betting against the plainly stated agenda. Qwen - NO (10.0): National profile encourages broader advocacy endorsements.
Fleet consensus: NO.
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