Will Zohran Mamdani be elected and then reelected as mayor of NY?
12
100Ṁ2772030
75%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2025-09-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Resolves NO if Zohran Mamdani loses the current general election.
The market will not remain open for future election cycles if he loses this one.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
What policies will Zohran Mamdani implement?
NYC murder rate per 100,000 in 2029 if Zohran Mamdani elected mayor?
4.8
Will Mamdani endorse Hochul in the 2026 Democratic Primary for Governor of New York?
67% chance
Will Zohran Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
25% chance
Will NYC DSA endorse Mamdani's re-election?
93% chance
Will Zohran be Abundance-pilled in his first year as mayor?
41% chance
How many NYC homes in 2029 if Mamdani elected mayor?
3.9m
Will zohran mamdani be a member of Congress by the end of 2034?
27% chance
If elected, will Zohran Mamdani maintain a net positive approval rating by August 2028?
45% chance
Will Mamdani be re-elected?
77% chance