Will Trump express intent to run for a third term while he is president, before the end of Febuary 2025?
Plus
43
Ṁ4358Mar 1
23%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Any expression of intent counts, even if it is "obviously a joke", e.g. a Tweet saying "Who knows? Maybe I will run in 2028." counts.
Must be after inaguration.
Update 2025-11-01 (PST): - Corrected February 2024 to February 2025 as the market closing date. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@mudPi314 Clarification question:
Does it only count while he is POTUS? Or does Inauguration Day have to end first?
Related questions
Related questions
If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?
14% chance
Will Trump participate in an election for a third term?
8% chance
Conditional on Trump running for a third term, will he win?
35% chance
Will Trump finish his second term?
80% chance
Will Trump run another rally before 2029?
70% chance
Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term?
32% chance
Will Trump serve a full second term (after winning in 2024)?
74% chance
Will a bill or proposal be brought to a vote, that would allow President Trump to run for a third term?
22% chance
How many times will Donald Trump mention the possibility of a third term in public statements before June 30th, 2025?
Will Trump announce he is running for President in the 2028 election?
14% chance