This market resolves YES if Donald Trump publicly announces a plan or strategy to serve a third term as President before January 1, 2026. The announcement must be made through a public statement, interview, or official press release. It must also include an interpretation of the 22nd Amendment which allows Trump to serve as a third time.
Resolution will be based on credible news reporting from major outlets such as NBC News, CNN, or official Trump communications.
References:
Update 2025-03-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Official source requirement added:
The announcement must come from an official from the Trump administration who takes a position on the 22nd Amendment regarding Trump's eligibility for a third term.
The statement must also specify the state or intention that Trump intends to pursue this route.
1,000When asked whether he has been presented with plans to allow him to seek a third term, Trump said, “There are methods which you could do it.”
NBC News asked about a possible scenario in which Vice President JD Vance would run for office and then pass the role to Trump. Trump responded that “that’s one” method.
“But there are others, too,” Trump added.
I do not think this is what the market is looking for, but it kinda does fulfill:
interpretation of the 22nd Amendment which allows Trump to serve as a third time.
...so maybe a bit more clarification is required?
@dgga looking for an official confirmation from the Trump admin for a specific interpretation that they’re going to use for justify the third term, rather than references to possible interpretations
Does this have to be a credible plan with graphs and stuff, or would "Mr President have you considered running for a third term?" -> "Well some people are saying I should do that" - > breathless "TRUMP PLANS ON RUNNING FOR THIRD TERM, DONATE TO ACT BLUE TO STOP THIS!!!" headlines be enough for a YES?
@PaulBenjaminPhotographer updated. This market is specifically looking for an official from the Trump administration to take a position on the 22nd amendment that allows Trump to serve a third term, along with a statement that Trump intends to pursue this route.