Will there be a white Christmas in at least 4 of these 9 large European cities in 2023?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

The 10 largest cities in Europe according to Wikipedia are

• Istanbul

• Moscow

• London

• Saint Petersburg

• Berlin

• Madrid

• Kyiv

• Rome

• Bucharest

• Paris

For this question, we unfortunately have to exclude Kyiv due to the lack of standardised aerodrome weather reporting in the area.

Each of the remaining 9 cities will have been considered to have had a white Christmas if, on either of the days 24 December or 25 December, there has been precipitation in the form of snow.

If four or more of them have had a white Christmas, then this question resolves as Yes. Otherwise, it resolves as No.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.

Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.