[Metaculus] Will there be 1000 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2025?
➕
Plus
21
Ṁ6841
resolved Sep 23
Resolved
YES

Will there be 1000 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2025?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes if, after October 12, 2023 and before January 1, 2025, credible sources report that there have been 1000 or more deaths caused by armed conflict between the military forces or law enforcement personnel of Israel and Hezbollah.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ240 YES

resolve @jskf

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules