[Metaculus] Will there be 1000 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2025?
7
27
Ṁ223Ṁ220
2025
40%
chance
1D
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Will there be 1000 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2025?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if, after October 12, 2023 and before January 1, 2025, credible sources report that there have been 1000 or more deaths caused by armed conflict between the military forces or law enforcement personnel of Israel and Hezbollah.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
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