Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?
Basic
11
Ṁ594
2029
75%
chance

From https://metaculus.com/questions/15102/war-between-egypt-and-israel/

Egypt and Israel have a history of military conflicts. In total, five wars (including the low-intensity War of Attrition) have been fought with Egyptian and Israeli forces on opposing sides. Since the 1978 Camp David accords, however, no such conflicts have taken place. Despite this, conflicts may arise in the future. In Egypt, 84% of the population opposes diplomatic recognition of Israel, while only 13% support it (full survey). This is despite the Egyptian government doing so over 40 years ago.

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Ṁ1,000
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