Will over 5000 Gazans be killed by the IDF in 2026? | Manifold

Will over 5000 Gazans be killed by the IDF in 2026?

20

Ṁ1kṀ3.2k

Dec 31

18%

chance

3

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Only direct, violent killings count

Market context

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Arab-Israeli Conflict

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