Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the global temperature will not rise more than 0.05C between 2015 and 2029?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

This question belongs to the Bryan Caplan Collection, a series based on bets by economist Bryan Caplan. Find the rest of the series here and Caplan's bet inventory covering most series questions here.

Questions in this series resolve according to the outcome of Bryan Caplan's wager, where a resolution of 'Yes' reflects Caplan winning the bet. Questions resolve per public statements by Caplan.

For this question, a resolution of YES reflects that Caplan won his bet that: the average (2015-2029) - average (2000-2014) <=0.05C.

If Caplan does not announce the outcome, this question resolves per NOAA Global climate time series data (https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/climate-at-a-glance/global/time-series)

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.

Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.