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Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2026, according to Berkeley Earth?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ1.6k
2027
1%
chance

Berkeley Earth releases a Global Temperature Report each January that includes the previous year's global annual average temperature according to their data.

For 2023, Berkeley Earth reported global warming was 1.54 °C.

This question resolves YES if Berkeley Earth reports that annual average warming is equal to or higher than 2.00 degrees Celsius in 2026.

For easy reference, here are Berkeley Earth's past numbers going back to 2010:

See also, same question but for:

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Climate
Science
Climate change
Global Warming
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https://berkeleyearth.org/press-release-berkeley-earth-2025-was-the-third-warmest-year-on-record-extending-an-unprecedented-run-of-global-heat/
In Berkeley Earth’s analysis, the global annual average temperature in 2025 is estimated at 1.44 ± 0.09°C (2.60 ± 0.17°F) above the 1850–1900 average, a commonly used reference for the pre-industrial period.

resolves no @cash thanks

@ChristopherRandles this is the market for 2026, so it shouldn't resolve for another year

@StevenK and should be reopened

@ChristopherRandles yes this shouldn't resolve until next year. closing time was incorrect and has been extended.

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