Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043?
Plus
26
Ṁ10k2043
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Details in this blog post. Barnett wins if:
By January 1, 2043, real gross world product exceeds 130% of its previous yearly peak value for any single year
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet with Matthew Barnett on whether an AI can pass his exams in 2029?
7% chance
Who will make at least one bet on Manifold during 2024?
Will Bryan Caplan create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
39% chance
Will Bryan Caplan lose any of his public bets by 2030?
98% chance
Will Bryan Caplan be a grandfather by EOY 2036?
60% chance
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet with Samuel Knoche about college enrollment levels?
85% chance
Will Bryan Caplan win his climate bet with Yoram Bauman?
1% chance
Will Austin and Rachel’s child (Ada When) bet on this market by end of 2030?
35% chance
Will Matthew Barnett have a child by EOY 2032
61% chance
Will Steven N Austad win his bet against Jay Olshansky on whether there will be a 150 year old human by 2150?
78% chance