[Metaculus] Will an LLM by Apple be ranked in the top-5 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on May 31, 2024?
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Jun 2
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Will an LLM by Apple be ranked in the top-5 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on May 31, 2024?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question will resolve based on the ranking of language model chatbots on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard hosted on the Hugging Face website at Chatbot Arena Leaderboard. If an LLM developed by Apple or a subsidiary of Apple is listed among the top-5 positions on May 31, 2024, the question will resolve as 'Yes'. If no such LLM by Apple or a subsidiary of Apple appears in the top-5, or if the leaderboard is not updated or accessible by the resolution date, the question will resolve as 'No'.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

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