Meta to release world's most advanced AI?
29
1káš5254Dec 31
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a Meta LLM achieves the highest Arena Score on https://lmarena.ai/?leaderboard at any point before end-of-year. Includes reasoning models.
Background:
Mark Zuckerberg posted on Facebook:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2025 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
Will a company other than OpenAI, xAI, and Google top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
18% chance
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Will a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2025?
26% chance
Which LLM will have the highest ELO at the end of 2025 on ChatBot Arena?
Will a OpenAI, Anthropic, Google or Meta release an AI chatbot that has ads in the responses in 2025?
35% chance
Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?
14% chance
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Will the LMSYS Chatbot Arena still be 'a thing' in 2027, under the same evaluation method?
36% chance