[Kalshi] OpenAI no longer top LLM in 2024?
Basic
6
Ṁ2529Jan 1
89%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
OpenAI no longer top LLM in 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Kalshi.
Resolution criteria
If OpenAI no longer is the top ranked LLM before Dec 31, 2024, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution sources
https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2024 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
What will be the top-3 AI labs in 2024?
Will Google have a better LLM than OpenAI by 2025?
18% chance
Will OpenAI have the best LLM in 2024?
59% chance
Will openAI have the most accurate LLM across most benchmarks by EOY 2024?
39% chance
What will be true of OpenAI's best LLM by EOY 2025?
Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?
40% chance
When will OpenAI release a more capable LLM?
Who will be ahead in the AI/LLM war by the end of 2024?
Will OpenAI release an LLM moderation tool in 2024?
64% chance