Will OpenAI have the best LLM in 2024?
33
1kṀ2044resolved May 7
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ135 | |
| 2 | Ṁ32 | |
| 3 | Ṁ26 | |
| 4 | Ṁ19 | |
| 5 | Ṁ19 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2025 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
What will be true of OpenAI's best LLM by EOY 2025?
Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?
70% chance
OpenAI to release model weights by EOY?
84% chance
Will OpenAI's next major LLM (after GPT-4) surpass 74% accuracy on the GPQA benchmark?
86% chance
Will OpenAI still be considered one of the top players in AI by end of 2025
98% chance
There will be one LLM/AI that is at least 10x better than all others in 2027
17% chance
In Jan 2027, will the top 3 leading AI labs be offering fewer than 15 flagship LLMs between them?
61% chance