[ACX 2024] Will US refugee admissions exceed 100,000 in fiscal year 2024?
58
266
Ṁ3.3KṀ955
Oct 7
33%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ1
Ṁ10
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ29 +196.6%
New probability
34% +1.1%
Will US refugee admissions exceed 100,000 in fiscal year 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if, in fiscal year 2024, refugee admissions to the United States exceed 100,000 according to data published by the US Refugee Processing Center (RPC). Note that this question asks for US fiscal year 2024 admissions, which runs from October 2023 to September 2024, not calendar year admissions.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
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