[ACX 2024] Will US refugee admissions exceed 100,000 in fiscal year 2024?
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Plus
74
Ṁ9415
resolved Oct 6
Resolved
YES

Will US refugee admissions exceed 100,000 in fiscal year 2024?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes if, in fiscal year 2024, refugee admissions to the United States exceed 100,000 according to data published by the US Refugee Processing Center (RPC). Note that this question asks for US fiscal year 2024 admissions, which runs from October 2023 to September 2024, not calendar year admissions.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

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Phew, forgetting about this Metaculus mirror market saved me a lot of Ṁ

Wow, huge spike in Sept. anyone have any additional context or color?

opened a Ṁ500 YES at 33% order

5 months of data for the fiscal year are now reported - 41k so far - on track for 99k if same rate continued - with increases in the 2 most recently reported months.

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