Will the US admit more than 2 million immigrants in any year before 2030?
4
39
Ṁ99Ṁ130
2029
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The resolution source will be the DHS Yearbook of Immigration Statistics for the year 2029. I am specifically going to look at the number of people obtaining lawful permanent resident status. I will also wait for the yearbook to come out which may take a while but the relevant years are 2022-2029.
For previous years, see here:
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
[ACX 2024] Will US refugee admissions exceed 100,000 in fiscal year 2024?
36% chance
Will 2024 have more estimated illegal boarder crossings to the U.S. than in 2023?
54% chance
Will the US have 200,000 overseas active-duty military personnel before 2030?
59% chance
If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?
35% chance
If Biden wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?
45% chance
Will the United States have a number of states other than 50 before 2030?
8% chance
Will total US immigration to Canada for years 2025-2028 exceed that of years 2021-2024?
45% chance
Will US birth rates rise above 2.0 at any point before 2030?
41% chance
Will the United States of America be composed of exactly 50 states by 2030?
83% chance