Will Netanyahu leave power before Trudeau?
Will Netanyahu leave power before Trudeau?
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100Ṁ1110resolved Mar 29
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Resolves YES if Benjamin Netanyahu is no longer Prime Minister of Israel, and NO if Trudeau is no longer Prime Minister of Canada.
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@Seanny123 FYI neither of your previous comments tagged properly; you need to click the autocomplete so it turns blue. Also, the @creator tag never actually worked (even though it previously said it did).
In this case though, I'll resolve it now since @mattyb has been inactive for a while.
"Justin Trudeau announces resignation as Canadian prime minister"
"Justin Trudeau resigns as leader of Canada's governing party after nearly a decade as prime minister"
"Trudeau says in a news conference in Ottawa that he will stay on as PM until a new Liberal Party leader is chosen"
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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