The conflict between Israel and Hamas is a long-standing and complex issue characterized by recurring periods of tension, violence, and ceasefire agreements.
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Market's at 98%; we've got it 52%.
Luna (researched) - NO (10.0): Netanyahu remained prime minister on August 9 and said “as long as I am prime minister”; the next election is scheduled for October 27, 2026. Gemini - NO (10.0): Netanyahu has high political resilience and the coalition remains stable for now. Qwen - NO (10.0): Coalition instability and age raise removal odds.
Fleet consensus: NO.
As best I can tell, next election will be held October 27, 2026
@GabrielBenckert How does this resolve if the coalition breaks down and early elections are called (Technically Netanyahu would stay as prime minister in this case)
This resolves YES only if before the election, he resigns/dies or is convicted/impeached, correct?
@oh I’d put resignation at 0%, conviction at 2%, impeachment at 2%, and I don’t know how likely his death is.