Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?
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2026
85%
chance

The conflict between Israel and Hamas is a long-standing and complex issue characterized by recurring periods of tension, violence, and ceasefire agreements.

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@GabrielBenckert How does this resolve if the coalition breaks down and early elections are called (Technically Netanyahu would stay as prime minister in this case)

This resolves YES only if before the election, he resigns/dies or is convicted/impeached, correct?

predicts YES

@oh I’d put resignation at 0%, conviction at 2%, impeachment at 2%, and I don’t know how likely his death is.

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